The UEFA Champions League Knockout Phase Play-Offs present a compelling encounter between France's AS Monaco and Portugal's SL Benfica. Scheduled over two legs, the first match will take place on February 12, 2025, at the Stade Louis II in Monaco, with the return leg on February 18, 2025, at the Estádio da Luz in Lisbon. This preview delves into the teams' current form, key players, tactical strategies, and potential outcomes of this high-stakes fixture.
Team Overviews
AS Monaco
AS Monaco secured their spot in the Knockout Phase Play-Offs by finishing 23rd in the league phase, accumulating 12 points from three wins, three draws, and two losses. Their campaign was marked by a balanced performance, scoring 10 goals and conceding 9. Domestically, they are currently third in Ligue 1, trailing leaders Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) by 15 points. Their recent form has been inconsistent, highlighted by a 4-1 defeat to PSG on February 7, 2025.
Recent Form:
- L-W-D-L-W
Key Players:
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Wissam Ben Yedder: The experienced forward remains Monaco's primary goal threat, with 14 goals in Ligue 1 this season.
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Aleksandr Golovin: The Russian midfielder provides creativity and vision, contributing six assists in the league.
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Axel Disasi: A commanding presence in defense, Disasi has been pivotal in organizing the backline and contributing offensively during set-pieces.
Injuries/Suspensions:
As of now, Monaco has no significant injury concerns, allowing them to field a strong lineup for this crucial tie.
SL Benfica
SL Benfica concluded the league phase in 10th position, narrowly missing direct qualification to the Round of 16. They amassed 14 points from four wins, two draws, and two losses, with an impressive goal difference of +8, having scored 18 goals and conceded 10. In the Primeira Liga, Benfica is enjoying a strong season, currently leading the table by five points. Their recent performances have been impressive, including a 3-2 victory over Juventus on Matchday 8 of the Champions League.
Recent Form:
- W-W-D-W-L
Key Players:
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Arthur Cabral: The Brazilian striker has been in scintillating form, netting crucial goals in both domestic and European competitions.
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Ángel Di María: The veteran winger provides experience and creativity, with several assists and key passes contributing to Benfica's attacking prowess.
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Nicolás Otamendi: The Argentine defender offers leadership and stability at the back, crucial for Benfica's defensive organization.
Injuries/Suspensions:
Benfica is currently dealing with a few injury concerns:
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David Neres: The Brazilian winger is nursing a hamstring injury and is doubtful for the upcoming fixtures.
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João Mário: The Portuguese midfielder suffered a minor ankle sprain but is expected to recover in time for the first leg.
Tactical Analysis
AS Monaco's Approach:
Manager Philippe Clement typically sets his team up in a 4-4-2 formation, emphasizing width and quick transitions. The midfield quartet provides both defensive solidity and support for the forwards, with fullbacks encouraged to advance and deliver crosses into the box. Set-pieces are a significant aspect of their attacking strategy, with Golovin's delivery being a key weapon.
SL Benfica's Strategy:
Under Bruno Lage, Benfica is renowned for their high-intensity, attacking football, often deploying a 4-2-3-1 formation. Wingbacks play a crucial role, providing width and contributing to both defense and attack. The double pivot in midfield is tasked with controlling the tempo and facilitating transitions, while the attacking trio supports the lone striker, focusing on creating and converting goal-scoring opportunities.
Head-to-Head Record
This fixture marks the first competitive meeting between AS Monaco and SL Benfica. Historically, Monaco has had mixed results against Portuguese opposition, with two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six encounters. Conversely, Benfica has a favorable record against French teams, winning four of their previous six matches.
Weather Conditions
Monaco (First Leg):
The forecast for February 12 predicts partly cloudy skies, with temperatures reaching a high of 55°F (13°C) and a low of 45°F (7°C). The mild conditions should be conducive to a high-tempo game, favoring both teams' attacking styles.
Lisbon (Second Leg):
The return leg in Lisbon on February 18 is expected to see mostly cloudy skies with a temperature of 61°F (16°C). These conditions should be ideal for a high-intensity match, aligning with Benfica’s aggressive pressing style.
Key Matchups to Watch
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Wissam Ben Yedder vs. Nicolás Otamendi
- Monaco’s prolific striker will be up against Benfica’s experienced center-back. Ben Yedder’s movement and clinical finishing will test Otamendi’s defensive acumen and positioning.
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Aleksandr Golovin vs. Florentino Luís
- The creative force of Monaco’s midfield, Golovin, will face the defensive prowess of Benfica’s Florentino Luís. This battle could determine the control of the midfield and the supply line to the forwards.
Predictions and Possible Outcomes
With both teams boasting strong squads and attacking philosophies, this fixture is expected to be highly competitive. Monaco’s home advantage in the first leg could give them an edge, but Benfica’s ability to control possession and exploit spaces on the counter makes them a dangerous opponent.
- First Leg Prediction: AS Monaco 2-2 SL Benfica
- Second Leg Prediction: SL Benfica 2-1 AS Monaco (Benfica advances 4-3 on aggregate)
Benfica’s superior experience in high-stakes European matches, coupled with their defensive solidity and attacking versatility, makes them slight favorites to progress. However, Monaco has the quality to cause an upset, especially if they can take advantage of their home fixture and force Benfica into an uncomfortable position heading into the second leg.
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